Ericsson has released its mobility report which states that by 2020 almost 90 percent of the population in the world more than 6 years old will have the mobile phone may be smartphone and the subscriptions to top 6.1 billion.India and China show the fast growth in mobile subscription with 18 million and 12 million net additions in the 3rd quarter of 2014. 800 million new mobile subscriptions in 2014 and it brings total to 2.7 billion worldwide.
Rima Qureshi, Senior Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer and Head of M&A Ericsson says,
[quote]The falling costs of handsets, coupled with improved usability and increasing network coverage are factors that are making mobile technology a global phenomenon that will soon be available to the vast majority of the world’s population regardless of age or location. The Ericsson mobility report shows that in 2020 the world will be connected like never before.[/quote]
Smartphones continue to grow rapidly as 65-70 percent phones that were sold in the 3rd quarter of 2014 were smartphones, compared with 55 percent in the same quarter of 2013. Despite this increase in sales, which will witness the addition of an estimated 800 million new smartphone subscriptions by the end of 2014 and the reports suggest there is still plenty of space to grow in this sector. This report predicts strong uptake in the coming years as the number rises from 2.7 billion smartphone today to the forecasted 6.1 million in 2020.
Video dominates mobile traffic
Video is the segment that dominate the mobile networks and in 4G dominated networks it currently constitutes 45-55 percent of mobile traffic, driven largely by increased usage of video streaming and improvements in the mobile video experience.
Video is increasingly appearing as part of other online applications such as news and adverts, and on social media platforms. At the same time, growth in video streaming is being driven by access to over-the-top (OTT) services and content, such as those provided by YouTube.
Devices which were used to watch the videos are also evolving as many of them have larger screens, enabling the high quality streaming and results in video being consumed on all types of devices.
In terms of future outlook, Ericsson estimates that mobile video traffic will increase tenfold by 2020, ultimately constituting around 55 percent of all mobile data traffic in 2020.
5G : Subscriptions on horizon
5G is expected to be available commercially in 2020 and the technology is predicted to have the faster uptake than 4G LTE just as 4G has the faster uptake than 3G. The difference is in addition to the new radio technologies 5G will also encompass evolved versions of the existing radio access, cloud and core technologies to serve the thousands of new ways that mobile technology will be used. 5G growth will be driven to large extent by new use cases especially in machine type communications.
This is the seventh issue of the Ericsson Mobility Report, which shares forecast data, analysis and insight into traffic, consumer behavior and subscriptions to provide insight into current traffic and market trends.
Ericsson regularly performs traffic measurements in over 100 live networks in all major regions of the world. Detailed measurements are made in a selected number of commercial LTE and WCDMA/HSPA networks with the purpose of discovering different traffic patterns.